07/07/2025: Hot & Humid, Few PM Storms

The Latest Storm Tracker Forecast from Meteorologist Kevin Appleby:

A pair of disturbances have their eyes set on the News10 viewing area, but I anticipate the bulk of the daytime hours of Monday to be spent with dry conditions in the Capital Region. Heat and humidity remain in place for the start of the work week, but a cold front brings some slight relief from the steaminess beginning Tuesday.

Over the next few days, there are a pair of low-end severe risks in place along a slowly approaching cold front sinking in from our north. For Monday, this Marginal Risk is in place primarily to the north and west of Lake George through the Western Mohawk Valley. By Tuesday, the threat shifts to the southeast, encompassing much of Greene, Columbia, and Berkshire Counties. Both Marginal Risks, a Level 1 out of 5 on the scale, are there due to the threat for isolated damaging wind gusts up to around 60 MPH.

For Monday, we are also keeping close tabs on the remnants of what was once Tropical Storm Chantal. With a close track to the southeast, the threat for isolated PM showers and downpours exists primarily southeast of the Capital Region. As this threat for rain develops, a second chance for storms will come courtesy of the aforementioned cold front. Isolated downpours and thunderstorms look to become more widespread along the boundary by late-afternoon, sinking southeastward into the evening. They will be falling apart and weakening as the approach the Capital Region after sunset, so we will maintain the chance for a passing shower or storm this evening.

With plenty of dry time expected today, temperatures will make another push for 90. With dew points rising into the low 70s, heat index values will again push the mid to upper 90s on the valley floor.

Winds will be out of the south, generally light but may at time blow to the tune of 15 MPH.

A light southerly breeze will persist overnight. Even as dew points begin to fall late, temperatures will remain close to 70, roughly the same as what we woke up to this morning.

With the boundary continuing to sink to the southeast, dew points will slowly but steadily fall into the afternoon. The quasi-stationary front, however, will become a catalyst for downpours and thunderstorms to develop into the PM hours. Torrential rainfall and gusty winds will be possible with any cells that develop. While the chance for downpour or thunderstorm is far greater to the southeast, there will continue to be a stray shower or storm threat for the Capital Region and points northwest on Tuesday.

With temperatures and humidity levels lower by Tuesday afternoon, it won't feel nearly as oppressive. Highs will generally range from the low to mid 80s, with 70s possible in the mountains.

Out of the 5 days of the work week, Wednesday is your best best at a totally dry day. Even then, with a mix of sun and clouds, a few showers are expected to develop - similar coverage to what transpired yesterday. On the contrary, Thursday looks like the best bet at more widespread showers and imbedded thunderstorms. After temperatures remain in the mid 80s in many spots on Wednesday, they will take a step back closer to 80 for Thursday.

Temperatures will be very similar for Friday, a day that will also have its fair share of shower chances (though not as soaking as Thursday). Heading into the upcoming weekend, temperatures trend slightly warmer. Saturday looks like the drier of the two days, with the threat for a shower or storm a bit higher by Sunday.