Predicting Tottenham’s final 12 fixtures: Will it be enough for Premier League survival?

Make no mistake: Tottenham are in the middle of a relegation battle right now. So, how will the next 12 games go?

It’s all change at Spurs this week, and not a moment too soon, either. After Thomas Frank’s abysmal run with the Lilywhites, Igor Tudor is being tasked with simply keeping the club in the Premier League.

As things stand, Spurs are in 16th place in the table, just five points clear of West Ham in 18th. Opta’s supercomputer has increased Tottenham’s chances of relegation, and it’s now a very real possibility.

Hopefully, Tudor can bring a new manager bounce and revitalise this struggling squad. Here, we take a look at Tottenham’s run-in and see where the points will come from.

• READ MORE: Tim Sherwood warns Igor Tudor he has a lose-lose situation at Tottenham

How will Tottenham fare in the next 12 Premier League games?

Arsenal (H) – Loss

Tudor’s first game in charge will be a huge one, with the North London Derby at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. I’d love to say home advantage will play a factor, and obviously, there’s nothing any of us would love more than to ruin Arsenal’s title charge, but I just cannot see us being anywhere near ready to upset the odds here.

Fulham (A) – Draw

Fulham have been inconsistent this season, which makes them very difficult to predict. At Craven Cottage, they’ll be a tough test for Spurs, but I do think Tudor’s methods will have started to bed in by this point. A hard-earned draw will be a solid result and another step towards safety.

Crystal Palace (H) – Tottenham Win

I’ve got a good feeling that Tudor’s first win as Spurs boss will be a comprehensive victory at home against Crystal Palace. The Eagles have been shaky this season, to say the least, and we simply have to win this one if we are serious about staying in the league. We have a pretty good record against Palace, and I don’t expect that to end this time.

Liverpool (A) – Loss

Much like the Arsenal game, Spurs are simply not strong enough to beat Liverpool this year. Our squad is ravaged by injuries and even the players coming back around this time will be lacking in match sharpness. Liverpool haven’t been perfect this season, but they’ve got more than enough quality to secure a win against Spurs at Anfield.

Nottingham Forest (H) – Tottenham Win

This is the most important game in the run-in for Spurs. Lose this one, and we’ll be sweating until the final day. Win, however, and Tottenham should be able to put a little bit of distance between them and their relegation rivals. With more quality and being on home soil, I fancy this to be a win that acts as a real catalyst to putting together a bit of a run of form and putting relegation fears to bed.

Sunderland (A) – Draw

An away day at the Stadium of Light is a stern test for any team, and Spurs will be worried about this one despite Sunderland’s drop-off in the second half of the season. Honestly, a draw would be a good result here, and I think Tudor’s men will be able to grind it out.

Brighton (H) – Tottenham Win

Brighton are just two points ahead of Spurs in the Premier League table right now, and by the time we face them later this year, I fancy the tables to have turned. At home and against a team clearly lacking in confidence, Tottenham will get the job done.

Wolves (A) – Draw

For some reason, Wolves have been a bit of a bogey team for Spurs over the last few years. They may be rock bottom of the table, but they’ll still end up frustrating the Lilywhites and getting a point out of us. It’s fate.

Aston Villa (A) – Loss

A little unbeaten run will no doubt end at Villa Park. Like Wolves, we just cannot seem to get anything in the Midlands lately, and Villa have looked like real contenders to break up the Big Six this season. This one won’t be pretty, I fear, and we just have to hope it’s not too much of a body blow to derail the final few games for us.

Leeds United (H) – Tottenham Win

I think Leeds will have enough to stay up this season, but they’re so inconsistent it’s hard to see them getting a win in North London. We tend to do well against them and this could be the difference between finishing above or below Leeds. We’ll get the win we need to climb the table.

Chelsea (A) – Loss

Playing Chelsea at Stamford Bridge is as close to a foregone conclusion as I can think of for Spurs. We struggle to get anything there, and I think a big part of that is a mentality issue. With Chelsea likely to be hunting down a Champions League spot, they’ll be eager to beat us and they’ll get what they want.

Everton (H) – Tottenham Win

At home on the final day of the season, it’s so important to leave behind this rotten campaign on a positive note. Everton have looked good this term and it won’t be an easy game at all, but we don’t have a bad record against the Toffees and I think we can get the three points here.

• READ MORE: Five winners and three losers from Igor Tudor’s arrival at Tottenham Hotspur

Spurs will stay up… just

By my calculations, that’s a further 18 points Spurs could and should earn this season. That would take us to a total of 47 points, which is historically enough to stay in the division.

That would be nine points more than Tottenham’s tally last season, and would have been enough to land in 14th place in 2024/25.

If we look at the fixtures for Tottenham’s relegation rivals, Forest still need to play both Manchester teams and Chelsea away from home, while Liverpool and Aston Villa will visit the City Ground, too. They’re very unlikely to get anything from those games, and if we can beat them, too, then it’ll be more than enough to keep us out of trouble.

Meanwhile, West Ham have a slightly more favourable run-in. Yes, they have to go to Villa Park and Anfield, but they’ll also play Wolves and Leeds at home, as well as having winnable games against Fulham, Bournemouth, Crystal Palace, and Everton. If those games go their way, I fancy them to overtake Forest and stay up.

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