Do the BAFTA Winners Predict the Oscars? What History Shows
Every awards season, people wonder if the BAFTA Film Awards can tell us who will win at the Oscars. These two prestigious awards shows celebrate the best films and performances of the year, and both come at nearly the same time.
Looking at the last few years gives a mixed picture.
Keep reading to find out more…
In 2021, Nomadland won Best Film at both the BAFTAs and the Oscars, with Anthony Hopkins winning Best Actor at both shows for The Father and Frances McDormand winning Best Actress at both for Nomadland, showing one of the years where the British and American awards shows lined up very closely.
In 2022, The Power of the Dog won Best Film at the BAFTAs while CODA won Best Picture at the Oscars. Will Smith won Best Actor at both, but BAFTA’s Best Actress winner Joanna Scanlan differed from the Oscar Best Actress winner Jessica Chastain.
In 2023, All Quiet on the Western Front won Best Film at the BAFTAs, but Everything Everywhere All at Once won Best Picture at the Oscars. That year, Austin Butler won Best Actor at the BAFTAs for Elvis, but Brendan Fraser won the Oscar for The Whale. Cate Blanchett won Best Actress at the BAFTAs for Tár, while Michelle Yeoh won the Oscar.
In 2024, the BAFTAs and Oscars were more in sync: Oppenheimer did well at both shows, winning Best Film at both.
Cillian Murphy won Best Actor at both BAFTAs and the Oscars, and Emma Stone won Best Actress at both for Poor Things.
Last year, Anora won Best Picture at the Oscars, while Conclave took home the award at the BAFTAs.The acting winners lined up perfectly at both ceremonies: Adrien Brody won Best Actor at both the BAFTAs and the Oscars for The Brutalist, while Mikey Madison won Best Actress at both for Anora.
Awards experts say that sometimes BAFTA winners follow the same pattern as the Oscars, especially in acting and directing categories, but there’s no guarantee. The Oscars will take place on Sunday, March 15.
For 2026, big BAFTA nominees like One Battle After Another and Sinners could provide a clue as to who takes home the awards at the Oscars this year. Find out who is nominated and who won!