Estimates laid in Parliament
Government’s Budget, setting out the Estimates of Expenditure and Revenue for the financial year 2026-2027, was yesterday laid in Parliament by Minister of Finance Ryan Straughn, together with a projected forecast for the current financial year 2025-2026.
These will form the basis of the Parliamentary Debate to ensue from Monday March 02, 2026 on the Appropriation Bill, 2026.
On the cash basis current revenue of $3 856.0 million is expected, of which $3 663.4 million is tax revenue and $192.6 million is non-tax revenue and grant income. Total expenditure is projected to be $3 939.8 million, exclusive of amortisation, of which $3 419.0 million is current expenditure and $520.8 million is capital expenditure.
The revised deficit of $83.8 million, on the IFI basis, represents -0.5% of GDP at market prices, estimated at $16,242.8 million. The primary surplus for the financial year 2025-2026 is estimated to be $658.4 million or 4.1% of GDP on the cash basis.
Overview 2026-2027
On the accrual basis, current revenue for the next fiscal year is projected at $5 275.9 million. On the cash basis, current revenue is projected at $5 179.0 million, an increase of $1 323.0 million or 34.3% over the revised 2025-2026 level of $3 856.0 million.
It is estimated that Government’s total expenditure for the financial year 2026-2027, on the accrual basis, will be $6 138.6 million (inclusive of amortisation). Of the amount approved for the 2026-2027 financial year, $5 164.8 million represents current expenditure and $973.8 million represents capital expenditure and amortisation.
When converted to the cash basis, total expenditure is expected to be $5 075.5 million, exclusive of amortisation, with current expenditure of $4 185.7 million and capital expenditure of $889.8 million. Current expenditure is above the revised 2025-2026 figure of $3 419.0 million by $766.7 million.
Expenditure on goods and services is expected to increase by $376.2 million over the revised figure for 2025-2026 of $590.5 million to $966.7 million. Current transfers are projected to increase by $368.4 million or 32% to $1 520.1 million.
The repayment of principal and interest on Government’s debt is expected to account for $1 495.9 million.
The primary balance is projected to be a surplus of $817.5 million, representing 4.8% of GDP (estimated at $17 064.7 million) on the cash basis.
The Estimates for the 2026-2027 fiscal year include provision for the following:
(i) A current subvention of $182.2 million is being provided to the Queen Elizabeth Hospital for its operations.
(ii) An amount of $121.5 million is being provided for the Social Empowerment Agency
(iii) The National Housing Corporation has been allocated the sum of $13.3 million;
(iv) An amount of $23.0 million has been provided for the Smart Energy Fund;
(v) An amount of $52.2 million has been provided for the Barbados Republic Child Wealth Fund;
(vi) A subvention of $242.0 million has been allocated to the Barbados Water Authority for capital projects;
(vii) Barbados Defence Force has been allocated $116 million to carry out its operations;
(viii) An amount of $56M has been provided for the Resilience and Regeneration Fund;
(ix) An amount of $78.4 million has been provided for Special Needs grant, Pensioners and Welfare recipients;
(x) An amount of $75.0 million has been provided for the capitalization of the Economic Diversification Growth Fund; and
(xi) An amount of $20.0 million has been provided for the capitalisation of the Blue Green Bank. (PR)
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