Latest Polling Has Thicko Jasmine Crockett Up 12 Points on James Talarico in Texas Senate Primary
A new University of Texas poll shows U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett leading opponent James Talarico by 12 points in the Texas Democratic Senate primary.
The survey, conducted between the 2nd and 16th of February and reported by The Texas Tribune, found Crockett at 56 percent and Talarico at 44 percent among likely Democratic primary voters.
The poll sampled 369 voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 5.1 percentage points.
Crockett’s advantage is driven largely by overwhelming support from Black voters, where she received 87 percent.
She also led among seniors and voters without college degrees.
New – Senate primary poll – Texas
Crockett 56% (+12)
Talarico 44%UT #B – LV – 2/16 pic.twitter.com/jJaiNvd1By
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) February 25, 2026
Talarico narrowly led among white voters by six points. Hispanic voters were nearly split, with Crockett holding a four-point edge.
Crockett recently suggested that Talarico and his supporters did not support her because of racism.
She explaiend during a recent interview:
The thing that’s not normal is for me too be attacked from the left. That is the new wild wildcard in scenario. It’s just interesting.
I’ve been asked a couple of times a couple of things about it. I look at this specifically as a civil rights lawyer. I’ve seen that sending out ads in darkening my skin, I am just like, I know what this is.
And the reality is that, I woke up a black woman. I was born a black woman. I was a black woman for everyone who doesn’t think I know, just FYI.
But I am not running on the fact that I am a black woman. I’m running on my credentials.”
Crockett said last night: “The thing that is not normal is for me to be attacked from the left.”
She then suggested it was racially motivated.pic.twitter.com/cYTnV1VIQt
— Western Lensman (@WesternLensman) February 20, 2026
On the Republican side, Attorney General Ken Paxton and Sen. John Cornyn were statistically tied.
Paxton received 36 percent support, Cornyn 34 percent, with Rep. Wesley Hunt at 26 percent. Neither frontrunner cleared the 50% threshold required to avoid a runoff.
That GOP survey sampled 350 registered voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.2 points. The broader poll included 1,300 registered voters, with an oversample of verified primary voters.
Favorability ratings were mixed. Cornyn and Paxton both had negative net ratings, while Crockett and Talarico posted positive net favorability scores. Hunt also recorded a slightly positive rating.
In the open Republican attorney general primary, Congressman Chip Roy led with 40 percent, followed by state Sen. Mayes Middleton at 38 percent.
The margin of error for that question was plus or minus 5.7 points.
In the Democratic attorney general race, former Galveston mayor Joe Jaworski led state Sen. Nathan Johnson 52 percent to 28 percent.
The poll also showed Republicans and Democrats tied at 42% each on the generic congressional ballot. Among Hispanic voters, Democrats led 50% to 31% in that matchup.
Early voting will begin across Texas from next week .
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