2019: Marwa lays out superb political calculation showing why Buhari will most certainly win; tells challengers to wait for 2023
Former military administrator of Lagos, Buba Marwa, has outlined his political calculation showing why President Buhari will win the 2019 presidential election.
- A former military administrator of Lagos, Buba Marwa, has laid out his political calculation showing why President Muhammadu Buhari will certainly win the 2019 presidential election
- According to Marwa, Buhari has the most support from the largest geopolitical zones; and the other political parties still don't stand a chance even if this was canceled out
- Marwa stated that the president’s supporters were certain of victory and were simply praying for God to keep Buhari in good health
- He advised all challengers for the presidency, to wait till 2023, as he stated that they had no chance for victory in 2019
Gen. Mohammed Buba Marwa (retd), former Military Administrator of Lagos state, has stated that victory is most certain for President Muhammadu Buhari, in the 2019 presidential election.
In an interview with The Sun, Marwa stated that Buhari’s victory in the 2019 election is a ‘foregone conclusion'.
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NAIJ.com gathers that Marwa predicted that the president will win by a huge landslide, as he noted that from all political calculations, there is no formidable candidate who can withstand Buhari in 2019.
Buba Marwa, former military administrator of Lagos state (Photo credit: The Express News)
In his words: “The president’s victory in 2019 will be a huge landslide. In 2015, he beat a sitting president. In 2019, tell me, who will he be facing?
“His victory is a foregone conclusion. Other parties should be strategising towards 2023 because 2019 would be a no contest. That is the reality. We are praying for his good health.
“In the business of running for the presidency, you must do some calculations. It is not a theoretical thing that you just look at somebody’s face, you like the face and say that he is going to win.
“Look at the performance, look at the votes that came out of Kano and what is possible and compare Kano votes, for instance, to the South-east votes.
“By the time you remove Imo state that is APC, total the votes for the rest of the states in the South-east and Kano. That is one. Then, look at the votes of the North-west; the entire North-west votes, actually, are more than South-south and South-east.
“Obviously, an unpopular candidate from the North can be beaten. But when you have somebody like President Buhari taking full advantage of the North-west, add that to the North-east, it is almost double of the votes from the South-south and the South-east.
“In essence, the total registered voters of South-south and South-west combined is equivalent to North-west alone – each with about 17.6m voters.
“Assuming those cancel out in 2019, compare to 2015 results, the South-west, an APC zone, breaks the equilibrium with nearly 14 million voters.
“Then comes the North-east zone, with 9 million voters and four APC governors out of six . And we still have North-central also with 9 million voters and all six APC governors.
“And as a bonus, you look at the North-central and the South-west, Lagos, for instance, which is an APC stronghold and not even to mention the other South-west states. And even if you break in the North-central, again, it is won already.
“So, that is why I said that the opposition should begin to think of 2023 because 2019 is a foregone conclusion. And it was a sitting president that he defeated. So, they should tell me who else would come that would be stronger than a sitting president to face him?
“This is a strategic calculation. We are just praying for the Almighty God to grant him good health to face the challenges. The victory is certain.”
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Meanwhile, NAIJ.com previously reported that Gen. Buba Marwa, said so far, there was no better presidential candidate for the 2019 presidential election in the APC than President Muhammadu Buhari.
Marwa said Buhari's administration within the past two years, had recorded some achievements in the area of security, anti-corruption, improved electricity supply and diversification of the economy through agriculture and solid minerals.
Buhari 2019 posters have flooded the streets; too early or too bad? - on NAIJ.com TV:
Source: Naija.ng