MLS Power Ranking Averages - Week 7
All sites are in, so the Averages go up early! A lot of teams made some big moves last week.
All sites published by Wednesday evening, so the Averages get put out early for a change! One site that missed last week had last week’s numbers on their new rankings, so totals have been changed slightly.
Now on to the rankings. As always, if you come across a site that I’ve not included please send me their link!
Sites Used
- Jeff Sagarin’s MLS Rankings (sagarin.com/sports/soccer)
- Five Thirty Eight (projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/mls)
- Massey Rankings (masseyratings.com/mls/ratings)
- ESPN (ESPNFC.com/major-league-soccer/19/index)
- Soccer America (socceramerica.com)
- MLS Soccer (mlssoccer.com/series/power-rankings)
- MLS Fantasy Boss (mlsfantasyboss.com)
- Reddit MLS (reddit/r/MLS)
- The Mane Land (themaneland.com)
- Philly Soccer Page (phillysoccerpage.net/category/seba-projections/)
- MLS Fix (youtube.com/channel/UCOIovJpP95VaFCvsmdhm8ZA)
- The Score (thescore.com/mls/news)
- MLS Multiplex (mlsmultiplex.com)
- Dallas News (sportsday.dallasnews.com/tag/soccer)
- Pro Soccer USA (prosoccerusa.com/mls)
You may notice the list includes several ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a stable counterbalance to the rest which are based more on personal opinions, and those done by ‘team’ blogs’. There are also included sites that some will argue are really ‘prediction rankings’ - but in reality isn’t that what a Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top).
All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.
- Highest Standard Deviation: Seattle Sounders at 5.61.
- Lowest Standard Deviation: New York City FC at 0.5
- Biggest Rise: Colorado Rapids, Portland Timbers -5
- Biggest Fall: Montreal Impact, Philadelphia Union +5
- Best of the week: Reddit/r/MLS with 9 exact matches.
- Worst of the week: Reddit’s Monkey Power Rankings with 12 off by 6+.
Site Bias
This table shows how far each team is from average listed by site. Negatives are better (higher on table), positives are worse (lower on table) than the season average from all sites. The further off a site is for each team may indicate how strongly biased they are.
- Most season bias For: Monkey Power Rankings has Real Salt Lake 11.072 better than average.
- Most season bias Against: Monkey Power Rankings have Los Angeles FC 9.07 worse than average.
- Least season bias For: The Score with Houston Dynamo exactly on average.
- Least Season Bias Against: See Least Bias For.