Angels vs Orioles preview with player prop picks and under 8 runs analysis
It is a getaway day for most teams as we have every team in baseball playing, and most will end their series today. This has been a week of a lot of travel for many baseball players with the trade deadline finishing on Monday. Interestingly enough, that isn't the last chance for players to be moved.
Virtually all teams put their players on the market, and if someone claims or tries to trade for them from here, they just take the player off the market. Odd concept, but that's what happens. You can expect the two teams in this one to explore who wants what remains of the Los Angeles Angels and Baltimore Orioles over the next couple of months.
The Angels did something right! At least that is what the majority of the analysts are saying about their trade deadline deals. They received some key pieces and didn't sacrifice a ton of their own young talent in the process. They picked up the second-best prospect from the Toronto Blue Jays in a deal sending over Jose Soriano. Moises Ballesteros came over to them from the Cubs for a reliever. They were able to keep Zach Neto and, if it is important to you, Mike Trout.
Another person they kept on the squad was today's starter Reid Detmers. There were a lot of rumors about people wanting to get Detmers from the Angels, but he ultimately stayed with the club, and they can trade him another year if they want. This season hasn't been amazing based on some numbers - he has a 3-7 record, with a 4.03 ERA, and a 1.10 WHIP. The WHIP is a good indicator of his performance, and he also ranks ninth in strikeouts. I also think they are likely to unleash him a bit more now that the deadline has passed. He was limited to fewer than 90 pitches in each of the past four starts. Detmers has been good against the Orioles, holding them to just seven hits in 40 at-bats.
The Orioles seem to have pressed the reset button. They aren't in the same situation as the Angels because they are roughly a .500 team, but that won't cut it in the American League East. It is also highly unlikely they can make a push for a wild card spot with their pitching staff.
The team still has a ton of talent on the roster, but they did trade away Adley Rutschman to the Boston Red Sox. It is more surprising to me that they traded him to a divisional opponent than it was that they traded him.
In my opinion, they still needed to make more moves to help this pitching staff. Their second-best starter, Trevor Rogers takes today's start. In my opinion, Rogers is closer to a third starter at his best than he is the second in a playoff-caliber team. For the year, he is 6-7 with a 4.27 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. He had a solid July aside from a rough outing against the Tigers in his last start. Over the last two months, he has allowed 15 earned runs in 60 innings, which is probably peak performance from him. The Angels are hitting just 8-for-22 against Rogers, but Travis d'Arnaud is 7-for-15 against him.
A prop on d'Arnaud is probably worth a look considering six of those seven hits have been for extra bases. His line is 2+ total bases at +179 for the day, so I'll lock that in as a player prop for sure, and the primary bet that I'll place on this game.
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Additionally, I think the Angels win this game. I think this is a bit of a fade of Rogers, and a little bit of a lean to Detmers getting more work in this game. The under 8 runs seems like a good look as well, considering neither of these teams is scoring a ton of runs, and both starters should put up innings with zeroes. I'll split another unit on the under and on the Angels.
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