Chilly day today, warm temperatures this week with high storm chances
After a sub-freezing start, temperatures will rise through the 30s and get into the upper 40s later this afternoon. Clouds will increase across the region as energy out west moves eastward.
The first half of tomorrow will stay dry. Southeasterly winds will ramp up into the 12-24 mph range, gusting to 30-35 mph. Warm air will surge northward with these southerly winds, pushing temperatures into the upper 60s to near 70 degrees tomorrow afternoon. Rainfall will develop across eastern Texas, moving into the area tomorrow night.
A trough will stall to our west throughout the week, sending multiple waves of energy our way. The first wave moves in for Monday night and Tuesday, giving us a round of storms. Storms retreat to the north temporarily Tuesday afternoon before a front moves in and stalls across the region Wednesday and Thursday. We see the highest storm coverage and the biggest threat of heavy rainfall on Wednesday and Thursday. After a bit of a break on Friday, with only scattered activity, another round comes in on Saturday.
Overall, rainfall totals will be in the 2-5 inch range with isolated higher amounts. Luckily, models have backed off the significant rainfall totals they were showing a few days ago. Nonetheless, a good soaking is expected through the week ahead, giving us a wet start to 2024!