Forecast: The handover of Artsakh territories will be a strike not only for the US and Europe, but for Russia itself
ArmInfo. Turkey will never give up its centuries-old policy towards Russia, one of the initiators and leaders of the Karabakh movement, the well-known analyst Igor Muradyan, are convinced.
"And Turkey will always strive to be close to the US, including in the Caucasus, while Ankara has frozen in anticipation of new approaches that are not yet available." I do not consider the tripartite Iran-Turkey- Russia alliance, since there is nothing new in this strategy there are, of course, desires, but there are also contradictions in the foreign policy of these three countries, including in the Middle East," he told 1-in.am.
Seeing in the Russian-Turkish relations threats to Armenia, the analyst considers the prospect of their improvement at the expense of Armenian interests unlikely. According to him, Armenia today has many other opportunities, which allows the country to maneuver. In such a situation, Russia remains alone and finally to spoil relations with Armenia for the sake of ghostly Turkish prospects, Moscow will not.
"We must understand that the game is not over and everything is not lost." Russia is Russia's priority problem today, losing which Russia will lose everything. "Moscow understands what tragedy for it is all that is happening in Ukraine today." All those who have lost something, there is nothing left to lose and nothing to lose, and everything will be fine with Karabakh, the main thing will not be war and the threat of losing territories will not become a reality. "The surrender of the Artsakh territories will be a blow not only to the US and Europe, but to Russia itself," Muradyan said. .
In this light, the analyst predicts an early demise of the OSCE Minsk Group, predicting the emergence of new realities and ideas for Europeans, Americans and Russians. According to him, we should expect the emergence of not new states-intermediaries on Karabakh, but new ideas, since it is impossible to move forward on the basis of the old ones.
The OSCE Minsk Group has been dealing with the settlement of the Karabakh conflict since 1992, represented by the co-chairs from Russia, the United States and France. Currently, the settlement process is based on the Madrid Principles put forward by the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs in 2007 and updated in 2009, including, among other things, the deployment of a peacekeeping contingent in the conflict zone.